Lismore Real Estate Advisors (Lismore) has advised Lothian Pension Fund on the acquisition of a prime logistics warehouse at Eurocentral in North Lanarkshire from Windward Titan Limited. “Titan” is a prime distribution facility and, at 123,850 sq.ft is one of the largest modern industrial buildings in Scotland. The sale price of £14,326,000 reflects a net initial yield of 5.01% and capital value of £116 per sq ft. The asset occupies a prominent position within Centralpoint at Eurocentral, Scotland’s premier logistics park. Located within the heart of Scotland’s central belt, Eurocentral provides unrivalled connectivity via the national motorway network and the rail freight terminal. It is home to occupiers such as LIDL, Amazon, Morrison’s, Fedex and Eddie Stobart. Titan is currently let to The Scottish Ministers (NHS) until 31st January 2031, at a rent of £766,094 per annum reflecting £6.19 per sq.ft. Simon Cusiter, director of Lismore, said: “We were delighted to act on behalf of Lothian Pension Fund in relation to the acquisition of Titan. Eurocentral continues to go from strength to strength, resulting in upwards pressure on rents. The strong fundamentals of the location and sector, coupled with the quality of the asset offer scope for strong performance in the short to medium term.” The industrial and distribution market in Scotland remains remarkably robust, reflecting occupiers demand for larger “big box” properties, such as Titan. The development pipeline is limited across the central belt of Scotland and further rental growth is anticipated, as supply remains tight. Nicola Barrett, portfolio manager for LPF added: “It was a pleasure to work with Simon and the Lismore team on this acquisition. We are pleased to have secured the asset for our portfolio and the strong property fundamentals reflect our strategy going forward.” Lismore Real Estate Advisors advised Lothian Pension Fund whilst MWM Consultants acted on behalf of Windward Titan Limited.

More encouraging volumes in the second half of the year signal a cautious return of confidence and investor appetite for 2021 Leading independent property advisory firm, Lismore Real Estate today released its comprehensive quarterly review of the Scottish investment market. In a year like no other, with challenges across the entire property market and global economy, Lismore reflects on 2020 and looks forward to 2021. Transaction volumes for Q4 are anticipated to end at circa £420m, which is some 30% up on Q3 at £320m. Against the annual five-year average, this will be around 50% down, but in the face of such significant headwinds, it is not surprising and more positive than many were predicting earlier in the year. After a relatively subdued first half of the year, volumes in the second half of the year have been more encouraging, meaning that total volumes for 2020 will end up at close to £1bn. Against this backdrop and with the roll-out of a national Covid-19 vaccine programme, Lismore predicts a brighter year ahead, with investor appetite continuing across the hottest ‘in vogue’ sectors of the market, including distribution and multi-let industrial assets, along with food anchored and well-located retail warehouse parks. Recent deals including the £31m sale of Sainsbury’s regional distribution centre in East Kilbride clearly illustrate this trend. The residential market will remain resilient in 2021, particularly student accommodation, senior living, care homes and build-to-rent. Indeed the BTR sector will chalk up its most successful year on record, including the £81.5m sale of Candleriggs Square, Glasgow, a 346-unit scheme in September. The rapid emergence of life sciences as a stand-alone asset class will continue, with a significant weight of money starting to discover the sector and its burgeoning opportunities. The standout office deal of the quarter was the £45m sale  of Quartermile 3 in Edinburgh by M&G to the German KanAm Grund Group. Colin Finlayson, Director at Lismore, said: “The outlook for 2021 is reliant on a successful vaccine roll-out to provide a much-needed literal and economic shot in the arm, along with the resultant lifting of Government lockdown restrictions. “If this happens we will see confidence returning and fear subsiding in the market, albeit Brexit will continues to loom in the background and cause uncertainty.” “Despite some concerns last quarter that the core plus sector was softening slightly, this has not (yet) happened and the continuing weight of capital circling this sector is helping to maintain pricing. “2021 is likely to see more opportunity for private equity. Patience remains a virtue and it makes sense for asset managers to add value where they can.” In terms of investor activity, some of the UK open ended funds have resumed trading and there has been orderly selling, with strong pricing being achieved for sales in the liquid sectors. Acquisition activity has been very focused on the safest sectors of distribution, industrial, long income and residential. Overseas investors remain prevalent and once current travel restrictions ease, we anticipate a strong comeback. The weight of global capital looking for a home has not diminished. Colin Finlayson concludes: “It is difficult to put into words the dramatic changes that the pandemic has caused to the economy and property market this year, but we are cautiously optimistic and look forward to increased activity and brighter times in 2021.” The Lismore Quarterly Review includes research on investor appetite and the evolution of real estate financing for 2021. In addition, it also features two in-depth interviews, one with a leading high street lender (RBS) and the other with Aberdeen Standard Investments. (Note from FR – may move this para into notes to editors) The full Lismore Quarterly can be seen here

A significant weight of capital will be chasing limited stock in 2021, according to new research from leading independent property advisory firm, Lismore Real Estate. Three quarters of investors surveyed by Lismore plan on being acquisitive during 2021, with the majority of those being funds and property companies. Stock is likely to be limited, as only 6% anticipate being net sellers and 20% remaining neutral. The research confirmed an appetite for more secure assets and, not surprisingly, the top three favoured sectors were distribution, followed by multi-let industrial, with food stores and residential in joint third place. More interesting is the tier below with both retail warehousing and offices receiving good interest. Private equity was the strongest supporter of retail warehousing. In the office sector, support came from private equity and investment managers. Funds surveyed do not view offices as a prime target next year. Hotels and high street retail, which have felt the full force of the pandemic downturn. were the two lowest ranked sectors. Opinion is split on bank appetite for lending to real estate in 2021, with funds and property companies being more bearish with 25% indicating a decrease against 15% indicating an increase. The overwhelming majority of private equity respondents were supportive of an increase. Lismore had a significant number of comments confirming that the increase in lending was from a fairly conservative base, and would be focused on the safer sectors of distribution, industrial, food stores and residential. Colin Finlayson, Director of Lismore, said: “Against the backdrop of the global pandemic, our research clearly illustrates that there still remains an appetite to invest in resilient sectors in 2021.  The weight of capital towards real estate remains strong and much of it has been patient this year, waiting for some certainty to return.  Outside of the most resilient sectors, transaction underwriting has been challenging this year which has curtailed activity.  But with a successful vaccine roll-out, we expect more confidence and transparency in the market in 2020, leading to an increase in activity.” The research was undertaken by Lismore during November 2020, with more than 80 insightful and qualitative interviews with a wide range of investors, including funds, property companies, investment managers and overseas/private equity. It forms part of the Lismore Quarterly Review, which also features two in-depth interviews, one with a leading high street lender (RBS) and the other with Aberdeen Standard Investments. The full Lismore Quarterly Review is here